Tensions intensified in Pakistan and India after the latter launched an attack not caused against different cities of its western border. The escalations have aggravated the already fragile links between the two nuclear nations following the attack by Pahalgam which targeted tourists and residents in a place of fun in the picturesque valley in the Jammu and the cashmere of Indian origin.
Only a fortnight after the deadly attack New Delhi blamed in Pakistan without providing proof, the government led by Narendra Modi initiated “ Sindoor operation ‘ – an operation to dismantle alleged terrorists and their infrastructures – which Islamabad calls a “loose attack” against innocent civilians in the country.
The benefits, however, became fatal, while at least 31 Pakistani civilians were martyred in the attack not caused by India, deteriorating the already inflamed links between the two countries, dangerously aimed at an intense conflict. Pakistan, too, retaliated to defend its civilians and its lands, lowering at least five hunting planes from the Indian Air Force – including three burst jets, one of whom crashed in Bathinda – with several drones.
With violent blows on both sides of the border, the situation seems intense and less likely to defuse soon, while India continues with its war behavior.
To understand the situation of national security Pakistan and the strategies of the civil and military management, Geo.tv Speaking with experts on defense and foreign policy issues, assessing the impact of the conflict of rapid intensification between Islamabad and New Delhi.
‘Next one or two crucial days’
Brigadier (RETD) Haris Nawaz, security and defense analyst, said Pakistan had the right to retaliate because India has crossed our international border and airspace.
“The government has authorized the heads of the armed forces to develop strategies on what is right. I think the next few days are crucial. ”
Nawaz, who is also a former soldier and diplomat, said Geo.tv That India continued to blame Pakistan in the five minutes following the attack on Pahalgam and did not even respond to the international community concerning no relevant evidence.
“The Pakistani government was ready and had made all the preparations, and warned against misadventure. The army chief, General Asim Munir, categorically indicated that we will answer. But war merchants did not understand,” said Nawaz, adding that no terrorist was killed in these attacks.
Drunning the armed forces of Pakistan for having downing India’s fighter planes worth millions of dollars, the analyst said that IAF pilots are not trained and not professional.
“Their pilots cannot steal expensive jets, each of the three burst aircraft costing around $ 300 million.”
Speaking about the impact of the situation in Pakistan and India on world geopolitics, Nawaz reiterated that two nuclear powers should never opt for conventional wars, which is why Pakistan said that this would cause neither provoke nor engage in war.
“India launched it. When the fights start, one cannot determine the dynamics of its end. This is the reason why the world is concerned. Pakistan had therefore warned other countries to the tame of India because once the war at first, there is no guarantee of the world and the world of the world, “said the old service of services.
He added that he is crucial for the international community to “discipline India”.
Nawaz argued that Donald Trump, the President of the United States, described the stupid Indians to have initiated attacks on Pakistan.
“They have neither the ability nor their soldiers and pilots formed. The troops do not trust their own military leadership and their government. They have never fought the wars, while our army is endurged,” he added.
According to the defense analyst, the Armed Forces of Pakistan are prepared for the eastern and Western borders. “There will be no problem in this context because we are able to defend both ends. The Pakistani nation should sleep healthy knowing that the troops are awake 24 hours (to defend them). ”
“ The fragile strategic stability of South Asia exposed ”
Dr. Rabia Akhtar, a southern Asian nuclear security expert, said the growing tensions between Pakistan and India have, once again, how much strategic stability is fragile in South Asia.
“Since the two countries are armed nuclear, the risks of evil remain dangerously high. The strikes carried out deeply in the Pakistani territory and the air combat with active air in a nuclear environment, the situation represents a deep threat not only for regional peace but can have global consequences,” she said.
Dr Akhtar, when he responds to Geo.tv Regarding the risks of war between two nuclear powers, said that nuclear weapons complicate climbing dynamics because there can never be any control over climbing.
“This crisis is still in its first phases, the reprisals waiting for Pakistan ending the first climbing cycle. The Pakistan National Security Committee, in a very strong declaration, officially invoked article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations and the reprisals of Pakistan authorized to respond to Indian attacks. This means of the means insured is on its way.
Even if it added, the two parties include the risks of climbing in a nuclear environment, this understanding did not prevent them from exploring the thresholds of the other at the conventional level in the conventional level in the past.
“When airspace, time and political pressure are compressed, as in this current crisis, the risk of vertical climbing becomes acute. Geo.tv.
The sharing of his opinion on the role of world powers with regard to the question, the expert – which is also the Faculty of Social Sciences of the Dean of the University of Lahore – argued that formal mediation could be outside the table for the moment due to the current dynamics of the climbing crisis, but the bench diplomacy can always shape global results.
“The United States, in particular, has access (to the two countries) and the influence to encourage restraint, clarify the red lines and help both parties find a face outing ramp as it has done in the past. But this window of any immediate ramp closes while we are talking, ”she said.
Commenting on Pakistan’s defense strategy following the Sindoor operation by India, Dr. Akhtar said that Pakistan’s defense posture in response to the operation should be rooted in his doctrine of the credibility of the Plus Quid Pro, which is a calibrated but climbing response to restore conventional credibility without crossing the own Thresholds of Pakistan.
“The National Security Committee rightly said that reprisals will occur both, the place and the way in Pakistan.
She added: “That said, if India interprets this period of restraint calculated as a weakness, the region could be pushed into much more dangerous terrain in the second climbing round.”
A few days to come “extremely intense”
Dr. Maria Sultan, president and president of the South Asian Strategic Stability Institute (SASSI) University, said that climbing in crises is certain destabilizing while the war enters the next stage.
“We really hope that India will include the cost of aggression not caused in the Pakistani territory, which has led to the decline in five Indian planes, a heron drone and the destruction of their brigade headquarters as well as many control messages on the (control line),” said the expert by responding to the response to loche. ” Geo.tv.
She added: “The next few days will be extremely intense.”